Page 60 - SAMENA Trends - January 2020
P. 60

ARTICLE  SAMENA TRENDS

                         Figure 3: Old Assumptions, new realities           creating challenges and tensions  in relation to
                                                                            current national regulatory frameworks within
                                                                            which national network operators operate, as well
                                                                            as creating implications for taxation, security and
                                                                            privacy.  An added challenge arises in the context
                                                                            of developing countries, where many population
                                                                            segments  have limited disposable  income.
                                                                            Current business  models and certain  network
                                                                            operator  practices in service pricing  have been
                                                                            insufficient to provide the investment necessary
                                                                            to bring coverage to many of these populations.
                                                                            Moreover, Governments do not have the revenues,
                                                                            models,  expertise or structures  to fund  100%
                                                                            of the  development  of networks.  In addition,
                                                                            international  financial  institutions  such  as  the
                                                                            World Bank,  which typically  funds  development
                                                                            projects, cannot close the funding gap for every
                                                                            ICT project. Furthermore, traditional USF models
                                                                            may  not  provide  comprehensive solutions as
                                                                            these,  by  definition,  are  designed  to  take  USF
                                                                            contributions  only from nationally licensed
                                                                            network operators and issue grants to operators
                                                                            to build infrastructure in under-served  areas.
                                                                            Such funding and existing means of distribution,
                                                                            however, are often grossly insufficient to fund this
                                                                            coverage gap. There is a need to examine ways to
                                                                            augment and expand on the current financing and
        located  outside  of the consumption   Analysys Mason estimates that mobile   investment models.
        country.  This has impacted  network   capital intensity will only increase from
        operators’  revenues,  coupled  with   13.2% to 16.3% between  2018 and   New  approaches to funding  and investment are
        intense  price  competition  on  data   2025. 7                     required
        packages  fueled  by the  perception of                             Given the tensions between traditional financing,
        broadband  as  a  utility  and growing   Digital  transformation  has  also  investment  and corresponding  business  models
        pressures to increase network capex   impacted governments and regulators   and new digital cross-border market and supply
        spending to enable the delivery of more   who no  longer  have jurisdiction  over   practices,  coupled with  outdated  regulatory
        and increasingly  complex and high-  communication  service  providers  models  and the continuing prevalence  of
        bandwidth  content. A 2019  report  by   that  have substituted local services,   national borders and networks, new approaches

                                          Figure 4: Global mobile capex and capital intensity



























        7   See: https://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/ey-accelerating-the-intelligent-enterprise/$FILE/ey-accelerating-the-intelligent-enterprise.pdf  and original source
        “Telecoms capex forecast: Worldwide trends and forecasts,” AnalysysMason, March 2019
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